Give a thought to the number
of people depositing their money with various
banks across the country, and across the world.
You might be wondering why and how do these
financial institutions decide on their profit
(or interest) rates on specific amounts. To
be honest, all financial institutions are just
like any other business, in dire need of profits
over their cost of generating income, similar
to our individual efforts.
Lenders may be anyone, including
you, at any point in time. We all have a fair
idea of how much it cost us to make the money
that we have today, and lending it to anyone
would surely not be free of cost. Money has
a price that is to borne by the person using
it; call it a rent if you will payable over
the period that the amount is borrowed from
a lender. The rate of borrowing or lending –
in terms of the lender – will vary on
the level of risk perceived in the borrower’s
business.
In addition to the risk element
attached to investments, lenders take into consideration
the time value of money too; this includes the
current level of inflation in the economy and
the forecasted level for the period of lending,
the opportunity cost of lending – i.e.
the benefit that could have been earned had
the money been kept in a bank or invested where
the investor personally preferred, and the rate
of taxation. Some financial experts suggest
that the general trend of all investors, debt
and equity, the final or left-over return preferred
the world over is actually 10%. This assumption
has been tested in various countries and has
been proven to be true owing to the fact that
rates vary considerably in all places. Countries
with volatile economic conditions will have
higher rates, such as in developing countries;
whereas USA and Europe have comparatively lower
rates of return. Taxes and inflation also play
a major role for readjustment of all rates,
which equate to the investor being satisfied
in receiving an exact net 10% of his investment
in his/her hand at the end of the financial
year.
The general tendency to help
evaluate the present value of future earnings
is to use the Net Present Value (NPV) or Internal
Rate of Return (IRR) method. Each has a comparative
advantage over the other, although NPV has proven
advantages over IRR. The NPV method finds out
if an investment is worthwhile based on the
required rate of return. All cash flows pertaining
to the evaluation are incremental – the
investment is for any expenditure that is to
be incurred and not already incurred; the rate
of return applied is generally the after tax
rate, as the investors are interested in finding
out what the net benefit of the investment is
after taxation.
The value of future earnings
or expenditures in present terms can be calculated
as
A
x (1 + r)^-n |
| where: |
|
| A = |
the net amount invested
or earned in a year during the project evaluation
period |
| r = |
the required rate of return
(after tax) |
| n = |
the number of years for
which the amount is to be earned or expended |
Some amounts are expended or
earned at a constant rate throughout the lifetime
of the project or investment, termed as annuities.
The value of these annuities in present value
terms can be found out as
[A
x 1 - (1 + r)^-n] / r |
| where: |
|
| A = |
the net amount earned or
invested annually for the period under consideration |
| r = |
the required rate of return
(after tax) |
| n = |
the number of years the
projected earnings or investments will prolong |
The IRR is used to find out
the maximum cost of investment that should be
considered if the project is to be indifferent,
i.e. no profit no loss situation. This ideally
helps companies that have both, equity and debt
holders, for which the Weighted Average Cost
of Capital (WACC) must be calculated to find
the required rate of return by investors. But
first, a rate of return must be applied to the
NPV calculation to reach a negative NPV for
a project, which will then assist in finding
out the project’s IRR.
The IRR is found as
A
+ [NPVA / (NPVA + NPVB)] x (B –
A) |
| where: |
|
| A = |
the rate at which the positive
NPV is achieved |
| B = |
the rate at which the negative
NPV is achieved |
| NPVA = |
the positive NPV |
| NPVB = |
the negative NPV (the absolute
value) |
Although both these methods
consider the time value of money, they nevertheless
fail to analyse the time period by which the
investment can be recovered, that is the pay
back period.
In all circumstances it is advisable
to analyse the money value of investments, i.e.
considering the value of money for the period
of investment. The reserves you hold today is
not equal to the reserve held tomorrow, although
an adequate payback period is always good as
the longer the project period, the riskier the
investment.